World Cup Final 2026: Dates, Venues, TV and Odds

The FIFA World Cup 2026 Final is Match 104 (M104), scheduled for Sunday, 19 July at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford (FIFA tournament name: New York New Jersey). Kickoff is at 3:00 p.m. local time (UTC-4), which puts it at 7:00 p.m. in the UK and 8:00 p.m. in Central Europe. Set your reminder now. The two finalists will be the winners of the semi-finals played on 14 and 15 July, and this is the only match of the stage.

Based on consensus probabilities from Opta and Polymarket, France vs Argentina is the most likely final at 18.4%, with France entering as the tournament's overall favourites. A France vs England final is the second most probable scenario at 17.1%, while Spain vs Argentina sits third at 13.6%. If you are building your week around this match, read on.

Final Schedule, Venue and Where to Watch

There is only one match to plan around. Here is everything you need to know about the World Cup Final 2026 time and venue:

• Match: M104 - FIFA World Cup Final
• Date: Sunday, 19 July 2026
• Kickoff: 3:00 p.m. local (UTC-4) | 7:00 p.m. UK | 8:00 p.m. CET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford (FIFA name: New York New Jersey)
• Format: Single elimination; extra time (2x15) then penalties if level after 90 minutes

If you are travelling to the match, East Rutherford sits just outside New York City in New Jersey. The stadium has hosted major events before and transport links into Manhattan are well established, so plan accommodation early given the date falls on a Sunday evening.

For those watching from home, here is where to find the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final on free-to-air television by market:

• USA: FOX (free over-the-air) in English; Telemundo in Spanish (free); select matches also on Tubi
• Canada: TSN/RDS carry all matches (pay); select matches free on CTV
• UK: BBC and ITV share coverage; all 104 matches are free
• Germany: ARD/ZDF, free to air
• Spain: RTVE, free to air
• France: TF1/M6, free to air
• Portugal: RTP, SIC and TVI, free to air
• Everywhere: The first 10 minutes of every match are free on YouTube

Per-match channel splits can change, so check your local broadcaster's schedule closer to the date. Rights information was verified on 4 July 2026.

World Cup Final Odds 2026

The table below shows the three most likely Final pairings, ranked by consensus probability. Figures are the average of Opta's supercomputer feed (8 July) and Polymarket prices (7 July). Pairing probability is calculated as the product of each team's individual chance of reaching the Final.

Probabilities are sourced from the Polymarket odds tracker (7 July) and Opta's live supercomputer feed (8 July), with Kalshi's tournament winner market (8 July) used as a cross-reference. Converting the consensus probability to an approximate decimal price: France to win the tournament at roughly 1/0.341 gives approximately 2.93; Argentina at 1/0.188 gives approximately 5.32; Spain at 1/0.187 gives approximately 5.35. These are illustrative figures only and will shift significantly as the semi-finals play out.

World Cup Final Predictions

Three pairings dominate the probability space heading into the semi-finals. Here is the case for each, most likely first.

France vs Argentina (18.4%)

France have been the tournament's most complete side. Ten goals conceded in just two across the group stage, 14 scored in five matches total, and Kylian Mbappe sitting as the all-time World Cup knockout-stage top scorer with seven goals in this tournament alone. The "Fantastic Four" attack of Mbappe, Dembele, Barcola and Olise has caused problems for every defence they have faced. Tchouameni is injured, which is a concern in midfield, but the squad depth has covered it so far. France's path runs through Morocco in the quarter-final, a rematch of the 2022 semi-final.

Argentina are the holders and have been ruthless in front of goal, but they have lived dangerously. Two consecutive escape acts, coming back from 0-2 down against Egypt and winning 3-2 after extra time against Cabo Verde, suggest a vulnerability that France's attack would punish. Messi leads the Golden Boot race with eight goals and is the all-time World Cup top scorer. A repeat title would be the first back-to-back since Brazil in 1962. Opta gives France a 44.3% chance of reaching the Final; Polymarket says 52%. Argentina's equivalent figures are 36.4% and 40%. Call: France to lift the trophy, implied probability approximately 34%.

France vs England (17.1%)

England have shown character and quality in equal measure. Their 3-2 win over Mexico at the Azteca, with ten men, featuring two Bellingham goals and a Kane penalty, was one of the matches of the tournament. Jordan Pickford has been outstanding in goal. The concern is Quansah's suspension for the quarter-final against Norway, which creates a defensive reshuffle at the worst possible moment. Kane has six goals and England's ability to score from set pieces and penalty spots gives them a route through any bracket.

A France vs England Final would pit the tournament's top scorers against the best goalkeeper in the competition. Opta gives England a 35.0% chance of reaching the Final; Polymarket says 36%. France remain clear favourites in this hypothetical pairing given their overall probabilities. Call: France edge it, implied probability of the pairing at 17.1%.

Spain vs Argentina (13.6%)

Spain have been quietly extraordinary. Zero goals conceded in five matches is the standout number. A 1-0 win over Portugal, settled by substitute Merino in the 90th minute plus one, showed their ability to grind results when needed. Their first quarter-final since winning the tournament in 2010 is against Belgium, a side they should handle. The question is whether their cautious defensive structure can contain Messi and Argentina's attack in a final.

Argentina's vulnerability at the back, demonstrated across those two late scares in the knockout rounds, could be punished by a Spain side that creates chances efficiently and concedes almost nothing. Opta gives Spain a 36.4% chance of reaching the Final; Polymarket says 35%. Call: Spain's defensive record makes them dangerous opponents; Argentina's experience as holders gives them a marginal edge. Pairing probability: 13.6%.

Final Betting Tips

Three angles worth considering as the semi-finals approach, each tied to a specific market type.

• Match result (to use post semi-finals): Once the finalists are confirmed, France start as favourites in any pairing they enter. Their implied tournament-win probability of approximately 34% (Kalshi, 8 July) is the highest of any team remaining. Converting that to a decimal price gives roughly 2.93, which may represent value if the market prices them shorter after a routine semi-final win.
• To reach the Final (available now): Argentina's Opta probability of reaching the Final sits at 36.4%, implying a fair-value decimal of approximately 2.75. Their quarter-final opponents Switzerland have a 30.9% semi-final reach probability, making Argentina moderate favourites. The QF match price for Argentina vs Switzerland in the data stands at 1.72 for Argentina, reflecting that expectation.
• Tournament outright: Spain at an implied 18.7% tournament win probability (Kalshi: 18.7%) and zero goals conceded in five matches offer a case for each-way outright interest. Their path to the Final via Belgium and then a semi-final is manageable on paper. Norway at 6.0% (Kalshi) represent the long-odds live option if Haaland, who has scored in every World Cup match he has played, continues his run.

Always gamble within your means; if betting stops being enjoyable, take a break and use the responsible gambling tools available on any licensed platform.

FAQ

What date is the World Cup Final?
The FIFA World Cup 2026 Final is on Sunday, 19 July 2026. Kickoff is at 3:00 p.m. local time (UTC-4), which is 7:00 p.m. in the UK and 8:00 p.m. in Central Europe.

Where is the Final being held?
The World Cup 2026 Final location is MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. FIFA's official tournament name for the venue is New York New Jersey.

What channel is the Final on in the USA, Canada, the UK and Europe?
In the USA, FOX carries it free over-the-air in English; Telemundo broadcasts in Spanish, also free. In Canada, TSN and RDS have full coverage (pay), with select matches free on CTV. In the UK, BBC and ITV share all 104 matches free of charge. Across Europe, free-to-air options include ARD/ZDF in Germany, RTVE in Spain, TF1/M6 in France, and RTP, SIC and TVI in Portugal. The first 10 minutes of every match are also free on YouTube globally.

Who is likely to win the Final?
Based on consensus probabilities from Opta (8 July) and Polymarket (7 July), France are the overall tournament favourites with a Kalshi-implied win probability of 34.1%. The most likely Final pairing is France vs Argentina at 18.4%, followed by France vs England at 17.1% and Spain vs Argentina at 13.6%. Argentina, as defending champions with Messi leading the Golden Boot on eight goals, are the second most likely winners at 18.8% on Kalshi.